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Trump’s Gambit: Ousting Maduro Amid a New Cold War Clash in America’s Backyard

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President Donald Trump is dramatically escalating a high-stakes campaign to remove Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, framing the strongman’s potential ouster as the “smart” move amidst a sharp escalation of U.S. military and economic pressure. Since September, the administration has conducted nearly 30 strikes in Latin American waters and imposed a complete naval blockade on sanctioned Venezuelan oil tankers, significantly beefing up assets like the USS Gerald R. Ford in the region. While officially targeting drug trafficking networks, the overt goal of regime change is undeniable, resurrecting Trump’s first-term support for opposition leader Juan Guaidó and intensifying sanctions. This aggressive posture has now drawn the ire of global powers, setting the stage for a proxy confrontation closer to home.

a split image of U.S. strike on boat near Venezuela and Nicolas Maduro.

The U.S. pressure campaign has ruptured the geopolitical calm, provoking sharp accusations from Venezuela’s key allies, Russia and China, who condemn Washington’s seizures of tankers as illegal acts of “unilateralism and bullying.” As Moscow reaffirms its “all-out support” for Maduro and Beijing denounces breaches of international law, the Caribbean is transforming into an unexpected flashpoint in a renewed great-power rivalry. Despite domestic backlash—including a bipartisan war powers resolution seeking to curb presidential authority—Trump signals further escalation, including potential strikes on land. This hardline strategy, puzzling to some realist analysts, risks entangling the U.S. in a complex regional conflict where the ultimate prize is not just ousting a dictator, but countering rivals in America’s own hemisphere.

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